Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.993870 1.207415 1.434779 1.692900 1.975929 2.275116 2.613611
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.755708 1.054678 1.396168 1.806761 2.279467 2.799971 3.410071
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.634071 0.978193 1.390740 1.905246 2.515107 3.202371 4.023583
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.516079 0.884755 1.348884 1.948189 2.677598 3.516412 4.535227
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.412336 0.789432 1.288014 1.953279 2.782563 3.753297 4.948914
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.307257 0.673315 1.185760 1.894502 2.800391 3.880076 5.228428
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.224881 0.573768 1.092806 1.836736 2.810533 3.990611 5.482871
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.167150 0.500300 1.026606 1.806187 2.848400 4.129590 5.766890
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.134589 0.463073 1.008314 1.836807 2.962037 4.359847 6.159814
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.103644 0.420822 0.977276 1.845948 3.045032 4.550386 6.503538
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072255 0.367156 0.921786 1.815561 3.072260 4.668597 6.757062
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067638 0.374598 0.966590 1.931060 3.295582 5.035638 7.318329
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060911 0.377630 1.008082 2.049059 3.532880 5.433909 7.935872
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.054300 0.379446 1.047774 2.165897 3.771266 5.837235 8.564701
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048263 0.380644 1.085307 2.278813 4.003891 6.233013 9.184167
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036558 0.359101 1.079753 2.325062 4.144359 6.510518 9.657011
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024138 0.326406 1.049776 2.331179 4.227512 6.712970 10.035440
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011242 0.275050 0.977176 2.265883 4.207399 6.778931 10.240738
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003734 0.229623 0.908664 2.201854 4.185257 6.839438 10.436925
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000753 0.197111 0.861247 2.167906 4.202658 6.949038 10.692472
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.183879 0.855032 2.201919 4.318277 7.189168 11.115080
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.166220 0.835689 2.212064 4.398099 7.381111 11.475945
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.140855 0.792608 2.178326 4.411317 7.482491 11.719633